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Mitchell data reveals why light-duty claims are falling, and what shops need to know about Honda's $2.5B Ohio pivot.
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Field Notes, Claims patterns & market momentum
Friday, September 25 · #101
~2 min read
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Markets
▲Mobileye$7.84+1.95%YTD -24.90%
▲Aptiv$44.24+1.52%YTD -41.86%
▼Tesla$371.71-1.65%YTD -17.35%
▼Nvidia$224.18-0.18%YTD +20.20%
▲LKQ Corp$23.19+0.83%YTD -23.21%
Tesla dropped while the ADAS suppliers (Mobileye, Aptiv) quietly gained, splitting the tape between the brand and the tech behind it.
Data via Yahoo Finance
Good morning, {{firstName}}.

This week's data shows two parallel moves: collision frequency is down, but the vehicle mix shops see is changing fast. Both matter for your calibration pipeline.

FIELD

1. Claims volume drop tied to higher deductibles, not safety gains

Mitchell's data on light-duty passenger vehicle claims reveals the decline isn't driven by fewer crashes-it's driven by customers absorbing more risk through deductibles. Shops are seeing fewer estimates because customers are choosing to eat minor damage rather than file. But frequency and severity on estimates that DO come through remain steady. This changes your volume math.

Source: Field Notes →

DIGEST

2. Honda $2.5B Ohio hybrid plant signals OEM production mix shift

Honda is building a 250,000-unit hybrid plant in Ohio starting 2030. This is not EV. This is hybrid doubling down. Over the next three years, shops will see more hybrid calibration requests as OEMs ship inventory from new plants. Hybrid ADAS baselines differ from ICE. Start building that expertise now.

Source: Repairer Driven News →

DIGEST

3. Michigan Auto Body Association joins SCRS affiliate network

Michigan collision repairers now have a state-level voice tied to SCRS. This follows similar moves in other states (Montana, Arizona). Association strength directly impacts your sublet volume-stronger local reps mean better insurer relationships and more direct-to-shop work instead of DRP pressure.

Source: SCRS →

DIGEST

4. Dealership body shop operations hit eight-year low in participation

The share of franchised dealers operating on-site body shops posted its largest midyear decline in at least eight years. Fewer dealer shops means more independent shops handling calibration work. Independents are more likely to sublet ADAS than OEM dealerships. This is tailwind for your growth.

Source: CollisionWeek →

DIGEST

5. CFA pushes states to block insurance price optimization tactics

Consumer Federation of America is urging state regulators to follow Texas and ban price optimization in insurance. If more states adopt this, insurer rate flexibility drops. Shops locked into lower reimbursement rates may push harder on direct-to-consumer work. Affects your shop partners' margins and urgency to capture high-margin calibration.

Source: Repairer Driven News →

DM me 'audit' on LinkedIn. I'll review your last 3 denied calibrations and write the OEM-cited justification that flips them. Free. No pitch.

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📬 Hit reply. Reply: are you seeing fewer drive-ins on minor hits this month, and are customers telling you why they're not filing?

📤 Know a shop that should read this?

One forward could save them three hours of denial fights this month.

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Published by Absolute ADAS. Mark Fowler, owner. Mobile ADAS calibration in Western Washington. 50,000+ calibrations on the floor.

👀 Tomorrow: watch how Michigan's SCRS move reshapes DRP pressure locally and whether Honda's Ohio timeline shifts hybrid calibration training demand sooner.
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